How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Over 1.5 goals 77%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Erzurumspor and 1.5 from Konyaspor, so Konyaspor come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Konyaspor come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 2.7 goals between the two (xG 1.1-1.6), landing about 79% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.36, which works out at about 74 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
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