What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Erzurumspor and 1.6 from Konyaspor, so Konyaspor come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 2.7 goals between the two (xG 1.1-1.6), landing about 79% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
One thing to watch
An early goal can kill the tempo just as easily as spark it, and a quiet second half leaves this short.
