How it turned out
We projected about 3.5 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Fenerbahce to score 2+ 69%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.3 goals from Fenerbahce and 1.2 from Goztep, so Fenerbahce come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Goztep come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Fenerbahce to score 2+. This is about Fenerbahce's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 2.3 on the day, and the bet needs them to score 2 or more, which we make about 69%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Fenerbahce have won two of the last five meetings, with three drawn.
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