How it turned out
We projected about 2.3 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Under 3.5 goals 78%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.3 goals from Kocaelispor and 0.9 from Rizespor, so Kocaelispor come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Kocaelispor come into this on two straight wins. Rizespor come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.1 goals in total (xG 1.2-0.9), keeping it under more often than not (about 80%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.35, which works out at about 74 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Rizespor have won one of the last two meetings, with one drawn.
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