What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Genclerbirligi and 2.1 from Galatasaray, so Galatasaray come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Genclerbirligi come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Galatasaray to win. Galatasaray shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-2.1), and we make them about 68% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 67 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
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