How it turned out
We projected about 2.3 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Genclerbirligi to score 75%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Genclerbirligi host Kasimpasa at home in a Süper Lig clash on 13 September 2026. Both clubs sit in the middle of the table, each hoping to pull away from the pack. A win will give the hosts three points and keep them in the chase for a European spot, while Kasimpasa will look to climb out of the lower half. The two sides are almost equal on the numbers we have – Genclerbirligi average 1.2 goals and Kasimpasa 1.1, and both have similar chances of scoring at least once.
Genclerbirligi have been solid in their last eight matches, winning five, drawing one and losing two. Their most recent result was a heavy 5-0 defeat away to Trabzonspor, but before that they drew 1-1 with Erzurumspor at home. They have also beaten Goztep 1-0 away, Fenerbahce 2-1 at home, and enjoyed a 3-0 away win over Trabzonspor. The highlight of the run was a 3-2 victory over Kasimpasa at home. In those eight games they have scored eleven goals and let in ten, keeping three clean sheets and failing to find the net twice. Four of the matches featured three or more goals, and both sides scored in three of them. Their last four home games have been especially strong – three wins and a draw with no defeats.
Kasimpasa’s form over the same period is less convincing. In eight games they have won two, drawn four and lost two. Their latest outing was a 2-2 draw at home against Amedspor, followed by a 1-1 away draw with Buyuksehyr. Earlier they earned a 1-0 away win over Corum, a 1-1 home draw with Trabzonspor and a 1-0 home victory over Galatasaray. They also suffered a 3-2 loss away to Genclerbirligi. Over the eight matches Kasimpasa have scored nine goals and conceded twelve, keeping two clean sheets and being shut out once. Three games produced three or more goals, and both teams scored in five of the fixtures. Their last four road games have yielded one win, one draw and two defeats.
The two clubs have met twice before this fixture. Genclerbirligi have the edge with one win, one draw and no defeats for Kasimpasa. Those meetings have produced an average of 2.5 goals per game. The most recent encounter was a 3-2 win for Genclerbirligi on 9 May 2026, a game that saw plenty of scoring from both sides. Given the recent goal-rich history and the fact that both teams have been able to find the net in most of their matches, we can expect another open contest with chances at both ends.
We back Genclerbirligi to score. Our expectation is that they will find the net at least once, a chance we rate at 75 out of 100. The price of 1.30 matches our view of the game. For the bet to fail, Genclerbirligi would have to be shut out, which has happened only twice in their last eight games. If they keep their usual scoring rate and manage to break through Kasimpasa’s defence, the pick should pay off.
Recent results
Genclerbirligi have won one of the last two meetings, with one drawn.
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