Amed Sportif Faaliyetler v Buyuksehyr: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 5. We made Over 2.5 goals 53%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.0 goals from Amed Sportif Faaliyetler and 1.8 from Buyuksehyr, so Buyuksehyr come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 2.8 goals between the two (xG 1.0-1.8), landing about 56% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.

We put the chance of that landing at about 53 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.82, which works out at about 55 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.