What to expect
We expect about 2.2 goals from Basel and 1.2 from Grasshoppers, so Basel come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Basel come into this on two straight defeats. Grasshoppers come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Grasshoppers to score 1 or fewer. This is about Grasshoppers's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.2 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 70%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.51, which works out at about 66 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Basel have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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