How it turned out
The game finished with 6 goals. Both teams scored. We made Under 3.5 goals 62%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. Low-scoring lean. The model projects about 3.2 in total.
We put the chance of that landing at about 62 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.73, which works out at about 58 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓Basel have won one of their last five.
✓Thun have won one of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.
Recent results
2 May 2026Basel 3 - 1 Thun
18 Apr 2026Thun 3 - 1 Basel
1 Feb 2026Basel 1 - 2 Thun
13 Sept 2025Thun 1 - 3 Basel
31 Jul 2020Thun 0 - 0 Basel
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
