How it turned out
We projected about 3.5 goals and the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Young Boys to score 2 or fewer 77%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.0 goals from Lugano and 1.5 from Young Boys, so Lugano come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Lugano come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Young Boys to score 2 or fewer. This is about Young Boys's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.5 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 77%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Lugano have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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