How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 3.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from St. Gallen and 1.4 from Sion, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Sion come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 4.5 goals. We make this around 2.8 goals (xG 1.4-1.4), so the line leaves room: it takes five or more to beat us, keeping it under more often than not (about 80%).
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.36, which works out at about 74 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Sion have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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