What to expect
We expect about 1.8 goals from St. Gallen and 1.1 from Lausanne, so St. Gallen come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Lausanne come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 4.5 goals. We make this around 2.9 goals (xG 1.8-1.1), so the line leaves room: it takes five or more to beat us, keeping it under more often than not (about 73%).
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.36, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
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