How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Lausanne to score 1 or fewer 76%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.8 goals from St. Gallen and 1.1 from Lausanne, so St. Gallen come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Lausanne come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Lausanne to score 1 or fewer. This is about Lausanne's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.1 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 76%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.36, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
St. Gallen have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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