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Football/Swiss Super League/Thun v Basel
Swiss Super League · Stockhorn Arena

Thun v Basel prediction

Thun crestThun9th of 12 · 13 ptsLWLLW
v
Basel crestBasel7th of 12 · 14 ptsLWDDL

What to expect

We expect about 2.0 goals from Thun and 1.7 from Basel, so Thun come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.7 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 2.0-1.7), and we make both teams to score about 62%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 62 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Thun have won two of their last five.
✓Basel have won one of their last five.
✓Five of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in five of the last five meetings.

Recent results

9 Aug 2026Basel 4 - 2 Thun
2 May 2026Basel 3 - 1 Thun
18 Apr 2026Thun 3 - 1 Basel
1 Feb 2026Basel 1 - 2 Thun
13 Sept 2025Thun 1 - 3 Basel

Basel have won three of the last five meetings.

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Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.6-1.9), and we make both teams to score about 64%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
Match outlookBoth teams to score · 1.38Share
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