Veres Rivne v Chornomorets Odesa: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.1 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Veres Rivne or Draw 70%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

Veres Rivne host Chornomorets Odesa at home in a Ukraine Premier League clash on 31 October 2026. The hosts sit 11th of 16 with nine points from ten games and a –7 goal difference. One place above them, Bukovyna Chernivtsi are just a point clear, while Liviy Bereh sit one spot below with a point less. The visitors are down in 14th place, three spots in the relegation zone, with six points from nine games and a –6 goal difference. Obolon Kyiv sit a point ahead of Chornomorets, and Kryvbas are level on points just below. Both sides are fighting to climb out of the danger zone, so the three points are very valuable.

Veres Rivne have been inconsistent in their last eight matches, winning three, drawing two and losing three. Their most recent win was a 1-0 away victory over Liviy Bereh. Before that they suffered a 2-0 home loss to FC Kolos Kovalivka, a 2-0 away defeat to Obolon Kyiv and a 3-0 home loss to Shakhtar Donetsk. They did bounce back with a 2-1 home win over Kudrivka and a 1-1 draw away at Karpaty. In those eight games they have scored six goals and let in ten, keeping two clean sheets but failing to find the net in three matches. At home in the last four fixtures they have one win, one draw and two defeats, and they are coming into this game after playing just four days ago.

Chornomorets Odesa have also struggled, managing only one win, three draws and four defeats in their last eight outings. Their most recent result was a goalless home draw with Karpaty. Prior to that they lost 2-1 away to Zorya, fell 2-1 at home to FC Kharkiv, drew 1-1 with Obolon Kyiv at home, were beaten 2-0 away by Shakhtar Donetsk and held Liviy Bereh to a 0-0 draw at home. The Odesa side have not won in six games and have lost all of their last three away trips. In this run they have scored four goals and conceded nine, keeping three clean sheets while failing to score in four matches. Their last match was six days ago, giving them a slightly longer break than the hosts.

When the two teams have met in the past five meetings, Veres Rivne have the edge with three wins, one loss and one draw. Those games have produced an average of 2.8 goals. The most recent encounter was a 2-1 victory for Veres Rivne on 20 April 2025. Given the tight scores in recent form and the low-scoring expectations – 1.1 goals for Veres and 1.0 for Chornomorets – this fixture is likely to be another close, low-scoring affair.

We back Veres Rivne or a draw. The price of 1.26 is shorter than what we feel the game deserves, giving us a wider safety net for a lean result. Our chance of this selection being right sits at 70 out of 100. For it to go wrong, Chornomorets would need to score twice and keep a clean sheet, or Veres would have to fail to score at all. Both outcomes look unlikely given the recent goal tallies and the tendency for both sides to keep the scoreline low.