What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Zorya and 0.9 from Chornomorets Odesa, so Zorya come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Zorya or Draw. This covers Zorya or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.16, which works out at about 86 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Chornomorets Odesa have not won any of their last three.
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