What to expect
We expect about 0.9 goals from Danubio and 1.2 from Liverpool FC, so Liverpool FC come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.0 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Liverpool FC come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Liverpool FC or Draw. This covers Liverpool FC or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.19, which works out at about 84 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Danubio have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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