What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Montevideo City Torque and 1.7 from Club Atletico Peñarol, so Club Atletico Peñarol come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Montevideo City Torque come into this on two straight wins. Club Atletico Peñarol come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Club Atletico Peñarol to win. Club Atletico Peñarol shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.2-1.7), and we make them about 49% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 47 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.50, which works out at about 40 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
