How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals and the game finished with 3. We made Deportivo Maldonado or Draw 79%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from Deportivo Maldonado and 0.9 from Central Español, so Deportivo Maldonado come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Deportivo Maldonado come into this on two straight wins. Central Español come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Deportivo Maldonado or Draw. This covers Deportivo Maldonado or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.16, which works out at about 86 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
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