What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Montevideo Wanderers and 1.1 from Juventud de las Piedras, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Juventud de las Piedras or Draw. This covers Juventud de las Piedras or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Juventud de las Piedras have won three of the last five meetings.
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