What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Inter Turku and 0.7 from AC Oulu, so Inter Turku come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Inter Turku to win. Inter Turku are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.5-0.6), and we make them about 63% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.55, which works out at about 65 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
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