What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from TPS and 1.2 from Ilves, so TPS come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Ilves come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 56%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 56 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.52, which works out at about 66 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓TPS have not won any of their last five.
✓Ilves have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in one of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
20 Jul 2026TPS 1 - 3 Ilves
13 Jun 2026Ilves 1 - 0 TPS
27 Sept 2020Ilves 4 - 0 TPS
7 Jul 2020TPS 0 - 1 Ilves
25 Aug 2018Ilves 2 - 0 TPS
