How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Jaro to score 1 or fewer 80%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from TPS and 0.8 from Jaro, so TPS come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
TPS come into this on two straight defeats. Jaro come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Jaro to score 1 or fewer. This is about Jaro's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.8 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 80%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 80 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.44, which works out at about 69 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
TPS have won two of the last five meetings, with three drawn.
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