How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 1.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.9 goals from KuPS and 0.8 from AC Oulu, so KuPS come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
AC Oulu come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: KuPS to score 2 or fewer. This is about KuPS's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 70%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
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