What to expect
We expect about 0.9 goals from Zamora FC and 1.2 from Deportivo Táchira, so Deportivo Táchira come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This does not need a goal rush: we make it around 2.1 goals (xG 0.9-1.2), and two is enough to land it, landing about 67% of the time on these numbers.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.36, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
One thing to watch
If chances go begging or a red card tightens things up, the goals may simply not come. The price is shorter than our own read of about 67%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
