How it turned out
We projected about 2.0 goals; the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made ASO Chlef or Draw 76%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from ASO Chlef and 0.8 from ES Sétif, so ASO Chlef come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.0 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
ASO Chlef come into this on three straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: ASO Chlef or Draw. This covers ASO Chlef or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
ES Sétif have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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