JS Kabylie v JS El Biar: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.1 goals; the game finished with 1. We made JS Kabylie to win 59%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 2.0 goals from JS Kabylie and 1.0 from JS El Biar, so JS Kabylie come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

JS Kabylie come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: JS Kabylie to win. JS Kabylie are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.0-1.0), and we make them about 61% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.43, which works out at about 70 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.