How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals and the game finished with 3. We made Halmstad to score 1 or fewer 77%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.9 goals from Halmstad and 1.5 from Malmo FF, so Malmo FF come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Halmstad to score 1 or fewer. This is about Halmstad's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 77%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Malmo FF have won five of the last five meetings.
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