What to expect
We expect about 2.4 goals from Sirius and 1.7 from Malmo FF, so Sirius come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 4.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Sirius come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 2.4-1.7), and we make both teams to score about 66%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.51, which works out at about 66 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
One well-drilled defence, or a game that turns one-sided, and this is gone. We make it about 66% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.
