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Football/Allsvenskan/Sirius v Malmo FF
Allsvenskan · Studenternas IP

Sirius v Malmo FF: how it went

Sirius crestSirius1st of 16 · 51 ptsWWDLL
0 - 1
Malmo FF crestMalmo FFLWLWL
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 4.1 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Both teams to score 66%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 2.4 goals from Sirius and 1.7 from Malmo FF, so Sirius come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 4.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Sirius come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 2.4-1.7), and we make both teams to score about 66%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.47, which works out at about 68 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Sirius have won two of their last five.
✓Malmo FF have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

23 Apr 2026Malmo FF 2 - 3 Sirius
5 Oct 2025Sirius 5 - 1 Malmo FF
18 Apr 2025Malmo FF 1 - 1 Sirius
27 Jul 2024Malmo FF 0 - 1 Sirius
19 Jul 2024Sirius 3 - 4 Malmo FF
Sirius have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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