How it turned out
We projected about 3.3 goals; the game finished with 2. We made Austria Wien II to win 47%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.8 goals from Austria Wien II and 1.4 from SW Bregenz, so Austria Wien II come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Austria Wien II to win. Austria Wien II are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-1.4), and we make them about 48% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 47 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.40, which works out at about 42 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
