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Football/Austrian Bundesliga/A. Lustenau v Wolfsberger AC
Austrian Bundesliga · Stadion an der Holzstraße

A. Lustenau v Wolfsberger AC: how it went

A. Lustenau crestA. LustenauWWDDL
2 - 1
Wolfsberger AC crestWolfsberger ACWWWDD
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.5 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 60%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.1 goals from A. Lustenau and 1.4 from Wolfsberger AC, so Wolfsberger AC come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Wolfsberger AC come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.1-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 60%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.77, which works out at about 56 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.

What the numbers say
A. Lustenau have won two of their last five.
Wolfsberger AC are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in five of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

23 Apr 2024A. Lustenau 1 - 2 Wolfsberger AC
20 Apr 2024Wolfsberger AC 1 - 1 A. Lustenau
11 Nov 2023A. Lustenau 2 - 3 Wolfsberger AC
12 Aug 2023Wolfsberger AC 1 - 1 A. Lustenau
5 Jun 2023Wolfsberger AC 1 - 2 A. Lustenau
Wolfsberger AC have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

One thing to watch

A clean sheet at either end undoes it, and one side shutting up shop is always on the cards. At around 60% on our numbers, it's a solid lean rather than a certainty.

More Austrian Bundesliga fixtures

Full fixture list
Sturm Graz crestSturm GrazvAltachAltach crest★★★★★
Sturm Graz are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.7-0.8), and we make them about 68% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Sturm Graz to win · 1.70Share
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