How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made LASK to win 66%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.0 goals from LASK and 0.9 from Ried, so LASK come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
LASK come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: LASK to win. LASK are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.0-0.9), and we make them about 67% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.52, which works out at about 66 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
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