What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Tirol and 1.2 from Ried, so Tirol come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 55%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.64, which works out at about 61 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Tirol have won two of their last five.
✓Ried have won one of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
25 Apr 2026Tirol 1 - 0 Ried
14 Mar 2026Ried 2 - 1 Tirol
22 Feb 2026Tirol 1 - 1 Ried
4 Oct 2025Ried 2 - 0 Tirol
12 May 2023Tirol 1 - 1 Ried
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