How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 7. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.8 goals from Sturm Graz and 0.8 from Grazer AK, so Sturm Graz come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Grazer AK come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Grazer AK to score 1 or fewer. This is about Grazer AK's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.8 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 79%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.35, which works out at about 74 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Sturm Graz have won four of the last four meetings.
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