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Football/Austrian Bundesliga/Sturm Graz v Grazer AK
Austrian Bundesliga · Merkur Arena Graz

Sturm Graz v Grazer AK prediction

Sturm Graz crestSturm GrazDLWDL
v
Grazer AK crestGrazer AKLLDWD

What to expect

We expect about 1.9 goals from Sturm Graz and 0.8 from Grazer AK, so Sturm Graz come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Grazer AK to score 1 or fewer. This is about Grazer AK's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.8 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 79%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
Sturm Graz have won one of their last five.
Grazer AK have won one of their last five.
Four of the last four meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in three of the last four meetings.

Recent meetings

7 Dec 2025Sturm Graz 2 - 1 Grazer AK
30 Aug 2025Grazer AK 0 - 3 Sturm Graz
9 Mar 2025Grazer AK 1 - 2 Sturm Graz
19 Oct 2024Sturm Graz 5 - 2 Grazer AK
Sturm Graz have won four of the last four meetings.

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Tirol crestTirolvRiedRied crest★★★★★
Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 55%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
Match outlookBoth teams to score · 1.64Share
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