How it turned out
We projected about 3.5 goals and the game finished with 4. We made LASK to win 61%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.3 goals from A. Lustenau and 2.2 from LASK, so LASK come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
LASK come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: LASK to win. LASK shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.3-2.2), and we make them about 63% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
LASK have won three of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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