A. Lustenau v LASK prediction

A. LustenauWDLLW

LASKWWLLD

What to expect

We expect about 1.0 goals from A. Lustenau and 2.2 from LASK, so LASK come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: LASK to win. LASK shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.0-2.2), and we make them about 68% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.

We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say

✓A. Lustenau have won two of their last five.

✓LASK have won two of their last five.

✓Three of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.

✓Both teams scored in two of the last four meetings.

Recent meetings

9 Dec 2023A. Lustenau 1 - 3 LASK

3 Sept 2023LASK 2 - 0 A. Lustenau

24 Feb 2023LASK 1 - 0 A. Lustenau

11 Sept 2022A. Lustenau 1 - 1 LASK

LASK have won three of the last four meetings, with one drawn.

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