What to expect
We expect about 1.0 goals from FC Brest and 1.4 from BATE Borisov, so BATE Borisov come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: BATE Borisov to win. BATE Borisov shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.0-1.4), and we make them about 43% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 41 out of 100. The price on offer is 3.90, which works out at about 26 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓BATE Borisov have won two of their last five.
