What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Beveren and 1.6 from Anderlecht, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Anderlecht come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 3.1 goals between the two (xG 1.5-1.6), landing about 59% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.80, which works out at about 56 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
An early goal can kill the tempo just as easily as spark it, and a quiet second half leaves this short. We only make this about 59%, so it's far from a lock.
