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Football/Belgian Pro League/Beveren v Lommel SK
Belgian Pro League

Beveren v Lommel SK prediction

Beveren crestBeverenLLWWL
v
Lommel SK crestLommel SKWWLLD

What to expect

We expect about 1.0 goals from Beveren and 1.0 from Lommel SK, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.0 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.

Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.0 goals in total (xG 1.0-1.0), keeping it under more often than not (about 74%). Clear chances should be at a premium.

We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.41, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
Beveren have won two of their last five.
Lommel SK have won two of their last five.

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Genk crestGenkvKortrijkKortrijk crest★★★★★
Genk are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.2-0.7), and we make them about 74% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Top pickGenk to win · 1.46Share
Waregem crestWaregemvGentGent crest★★★★★
Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 56%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
Match outlookBoth teams to score · 1.65Share
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