How it turned out
We projected about 2.1 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Beveren and 1.0 from Lommel SK, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Beveren to score 2 or fewer. This is about Beveren's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 88%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 88 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
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