How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Waregem to score 75%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from Waregem and 1.2 from Gent, so Waregem come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Waregem come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Waregem to score. This is about Waregem's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.4 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 75%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Gent have won four of the last five meetings.
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