Beveren v St. Gilloise: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.0 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made St. Gilloise to win 69%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 0.8 goals from Beveren and 2.2 from St. Gilloise, so St. Gilloise come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

St. Gilloise come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: St. Gilloise to win. St. Gilloise shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.7-2.1), and we make them about 71% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.

We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.49, which works out at about 67 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.