How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Kortrijk to score 1 or fewer 81%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Standard and 0.8 from Kortrijk, so Standard come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Kortrijk to score 1 or fewer. This is about Kortrijk's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.8 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 81%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 81 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Kortrijk have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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