What to expect
We expect about 2.4 goals from Club Brugge and 1.0 from St Truiden, so Club Brugge come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Club Brugge come into this on five straight wins. St Truiden come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: St Truiden to score 1 or fewer. This is about St Truiden's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 77%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Club Brugge have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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