What to expect
We expect about 0.6 goals from Kortrijk and 2.0 from St. Gilloise, so St. Gilloise come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Kortrijk come into this on two straight defeats. St. Gilloise come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: St. Gilloise to win. St. Gilloise shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.6-2.1), and we make them about 76% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
St. Gilloise have won five of the last five meetings.
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