How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals and the game finished with 3.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.9 goals from St. Gilloise and 0.8 from Anderlecht, so St. Gilloise come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: St. Gilloise (Draw No Bet). St. Gilloise are favoured here (xG 1.9-0.8), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a St. Gilloise defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 81 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.28, which works out at about 78 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
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