What to expect
We expect about 1.7 goals from St Truiden and 1.0 from Oud-Heverlee Leuven, so St Truiden come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
St Truiden come into this on four straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Oud-Heverlee Leuven to score 1 or fewer. This is about Oud-Heverlee Leuven's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 75%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
St Truiden have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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