How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Standard to score 72%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Standard and 1.3 from Charleroi, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Standard come into this on two straight defeats. Charleroi come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Standard to score. This is about Standard's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.2 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 72%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Charleroi have won three of the last five meetings.
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