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Football/Belgian Pro League/Standard v Charleroi
Belgian Pro League · Stade Maurice Dufrasne

Standard v Charleroi prediction

Standard crestStandardWWWLL
v
Charleroi crestCharleroiWWLWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.2 goals from Standard and 1.2 from Charleroi, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Standard come into this on two straight defeats. Charleroi come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Standard to score. This is about Standard's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.2 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 72%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
Standard have won three of their last five.
Charleroi have won four of their last five.
Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

23 May 2026Standard 0 - 2 Charleroi
18 Apr 2026Charleroi 1 - 2 Standard
18 Jan 2026Charleroi 2 - 0 Standard
31 Oct 2025Standard 3 - 1 Charleroi
4 May 2025Standard 0 - 1 Charleroi
Charleroi have won three of the last five meetings.

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Genk crestGenkvKortrijkKortrijk crest★★★★★
Genk are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.2-0.7), and we make them about 74% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Top pickGenk to win · 1.46Share
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