How it turned out
We projected about 3.2 goals; the game finished with 2. We made San Antonio Bulo Bulo to win 42%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.8 goals from San Antonio Bulo Bulo and 1.4 from Aurora, so San Antonio Bulo Bulo come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
San Antonio Bulo Bulo come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: San Antonio Bulo Bulo to win. San Antonio Bulo Bulo are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-1.4), and we make them about 44% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 42 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.60, which works out at about 38 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
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