How it turned out
We projected about 2.3 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Borac Banja Luka to win 58%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.8 goals from Široki Brijeg and 1.6 from Borac Banja Luka, so Borac Banja Luka come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Borac Banja Luka come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Borac Banja Luka to win. Borac Banja Luka shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.8-1.6), and we make them about 60% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.58, which works out at about 63 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Borac Banja Luka have won five of the last five meetings.
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