How it turned out
We projected about 2.1 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Borac Banja Luka to win 63%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.6 goals from Sloga Doboj and 1.5 from Borac Banja Luka, so Borac Banja Luka come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Borac Banja Luka to win. Borac Banja Luka shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.6-1.5), and we make them about 64% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 63 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Borac Banja Luka have won five of the last five meetings.
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