What to expect
We expect about 0.6 goals from Sloga Doboj and 1.5 from Borac Banja Luka, so Borac Banja Luka come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Borac Banja Luka to win. Borac Banja Luka shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.6-1.5), and we make them about 64% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 63 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.58, which works out at about 63 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Sloga Doboj are unbeaten in their last three — one win and two draws.
✓Borac Banja Luka have won two of their last five.