What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Operario Ferroviario and 1.1 from Sport Recife, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Operario Ferroviario or Draw. This covers Operario Ferroviario or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 67 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.36, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Operario Ferroviario have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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