What to expect
We expect about 0.8 goals from Ponte Preta and 1.4 from Atletico GO, so Atletico GO come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Ponte Preta come into this on four straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Atletico GO to win. Atletico GO shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.8-1.4), and we make them about 56% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.25, which works out at about 80 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Atletico GO have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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