What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Chapecoense-SC and 1.4 from Internacional, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Internacional or Draw. This covers Internacional or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
One thing to watch
Two-way cover still leaves one result that beats you, and tight games can turn on a single mistake. We make it about 70% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.
